Our quarterly results are likely to fluctuate. Fluctuations have occurred due to known and unknown risks, such as the global economic impact of ongoing conflicts, including the war in Ukraine and the regional conflict in the Middle East, and uncertainty about the interest rate environment. In addition, our fiscal fourth quarter has historically been our strongest quarter for new business and renewals, and the year-over-year compounding effect of this seasonality in billing patterns and overall new business and renewal activity causes the value of invoices that we generate in the fourth quarter to continually increase in proportion to our billings in the other three quarters of our fiscal year. As a result, our fiscal first quarter has typically in the past been our largest collections and operating cash flow quarter.
Additionally, some of the important factors that may cause our revenues, operating results and cash flows to fluctuate from quarter to quarter include:
- general economic or geopolitical conditions, including the impacts of the war in Ukraine and the regional conflict in the Middle East; financial market conditions; uncertainty regarding the imposition of and changes in trade policies, including trade wars, tariffs or other trade restrictions or the threat of such actions; and increasing costs of operation;
- our ability to retain and increase sales to existing customers, attract new customers and satisfy our customers’ requirements, including large enterprise customers;
- the attrition rates for our services;
- the size and productivity of our workforce, as well as the cost to recruit and train new employees;
- the length of the sales cycle for our services;
- new product and service introductions by our competitors;
- changes in unearned revenue and remaining performance obligation;
- our ability to realize benefits from strategic partnerships, acquisitions or investments;
- our ability to execute and realize benefits from restructuring actions and other workforce reductions, or any similar actions taken in the future;
- variations in the revenue mix of our services and growth rates of our subscription and support offerings;
- the seasonality of our sales cycle, as well as timing of contract execution and term software license sales;
- the lack of certainty regarding customer usage and associated costs for consumption-based product offerings;
- changes in and expenses associated with our pricing policies and terms of contracts;
- the seasonality of our customers’ businesses, especially our Commerce service offering customers;
- fluctuations in foreign currency exchange rates;
- the amount and timing of operating costs and capital expenditures related to the operations and expansion of our business;
- the timing of commission, bonus and other compensation payments to employees;
- the cost, timing and management effort required for the introduction of new features to our services;
- the costs associated with acquiring and integrating new businesses and technologies;
- expenses related to our real estate or changes in the nature or extent of our use of existing real estate, including our office leases and our data center capacity and expansion;
- timing of additional investments in our enterprise cloud computing application and platform services and in our consulting services;
- expenses related to significant, unusual or discrete events, which are recorded in the period in which the events occur, including litigation or other dispute-related settlement payments;
- income tax effects resulting from, but not limited to, tax law changes, court decisions on tax matters, global tax developments applicable to multinational corporations, changes in operations or business structures and acquisition activity;
- the timing of stock awards to employees and payroll and other withholding tax expenses;
- technical difficulties or service interruptions;
- changes in interest rates and our mix of investments, which impact the return on our investments in cash and marketable securities;
- changes in the fair value of our strategic investments, including changes due to impairments, particularly in periods of significant market fluctuations;
- equity or debt issuances, including as consideration in or in conjunction with acquisitions;
- evolving regulations of cloud computing, AI and cross-border data transfer restrictions and similar regulations; and
- regulatory compliance and acquisition costs.
Many of these factors are outside of our control, and the occurrence of one or more of them might negatively and materially impact our operating results. If we fail to meet or exceed operating results expectations or if securities analysts and investors have estimates and forecasts of our future performance that are unrealistic or that we do not meet, the market price of our common stock could decline. In addition, if one or more of the securities analysts who cover us adversely change their recommendations regarding our stock, the market price of our common stock could decline.