high match confidence
Sentence-level differences:
- Reworded sentence: "Many government authorities across the world have imposed, and may impose in the future, policies or regulations designed to facilitate less petroleum-dependent modes of transportation (e.g., increases in fuel economy or efficiency standards, low-carbon fuel standards, restrictions and bans on vehicles using liquid fuels, tariffs, tax incentives, and EV subsidies), which could reduce demand for our petroleum-based products and/or all liquid transportation fuels."
- Reworded sentence: "CARB’s current Scoping Plan identifies strategies to reduce liquid petroleum consumption in California by 94 percent, and CARB is actively engaged in a series of rulemaking efforts intended to fulfill these objectives."
- Reworded sentence: "The EPA states that its rule is projected to reduce gasoline consumption by more than 360 billion gallons by 2050, reaching a 15 percent reduction in annual U.S."
- Reworded sentence: "Moreover, in April 2023, the EPA announced new, more ambitious proposed standards for model years 2027 to 2032 that the agency expects will drive 67 percent of new light- and medium-duty vehicles, 50 percent of heavy-duty vocational vehicles, 35 percent of short-haul tractors, and 25 percent of long-haul tractors sold in the U.S."
- Reworded sentence: "federal measures, in March 2022, the EPA reinstated a waiver of preemption under federal law authorizing California to implement its “Advanced Clean Cars I” rule requiring sales of increasing percentages of alternative fuel vehicles, thereby also reviving other U.S."
Current (2024):
Many government authorities across the world have imposed, and may impose in the future, policies or regulations designed to facilitate less petroleum-dependent modes of transportation (e.g., increases in fuel economy or efficiency standards, low-carbon fuel standards,…
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Many government authorities across the world have imposed, and may impose in the future, policies or regulations designed to facilitate less petroleum-dependent modes of transportation (e.g., increases in fuel economy or efficiency standards, low-carbon fuel standards, restrictions and bans on vehicles using liquid fuels, tariffs, tax incentives, and EV subsidies), which could reduce demand for our petroleum-based products and/or all liquid transportation fuels. For example, CARB has approved a series of regulations designed to phase out sales of internal combustion engine vehicles in California. CARB’s current Scoping Plan identifies strategies to reduce liquid petroleum consumption in California by 94 percent, and CARB is actively engaged in a series of rulemaking efforts intended to fulfill these objectives. The European Union (EU), U.K., Canada, and Quebec have each adopted what they refer to as “zero-emissions vehicle” mandates and other government authorities across the world, such as Mexico, and other U.S. states have also announced, or are considering, plans and/or restrictions regarding the sale of new internal combustion engine vehicles, stricter tailpipe emissions standards, and limitations on or penalties for the use of petroleum-based products and certain biofuel feedstocks. The U.S. federal government under the current presidential administration has also been aggressive in the scope, magnitude, and number of actions it has taken to address GHG emissions and other environmental matters, including efforts to limit or eliminate petroleum-dependent modes of transportation. For example, the current administration utilizes a “whole of government” approach to climate change and environmental justice that seeks to organize and deploy the full capacity of the U.S. federal government in novel and coordinated ways to limit or eliminate the use of most petroleum-based products. The current administration has also issued a number of related executive orders, including orders requiring agencies to review environmental actions taken by the previous administration and directing the U.S. federal government to use its scale and procurement power to achieve a number of aspirational net-zero 24 24 24 Table of Contents Table of Contents emissions goals, including seeking to limit or eliminate petroleum-based fuels by imposing mandates of so-called 100 percent zero-emission vehicle acquisitions, such as EVs and other alternative fuel vehicles, by 2035 and 100 percent zero-emission light-duty vehicle acquisitions by 2027. These actions have contributed to, and may continue to spur, a number of U.S. federal rulemakings and other actions that disfavor petroleum-dependent modes of transportation, many of which ignore or downplay the full life cycle carbon footprint of EVs, and thereby seek to inappropriately advantage them over internal combustion engine vehicles. For example, the EPA issued its “Revised 2023 and Later Model Year Light-Duty Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emission Standards,” revising the GHG emissions standards for light-duty vehicles for 2023 and later model years at a level that cannot be achieved by internal combustion engine vehicles through improvements in combustion efficiency. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration (NHTSA) also similarly issued its “CAFE Standards for MY 2024-26 Passenger Cars and Light Trucks,” increasing the corporate average fuel economy and carbon dioxide standards for certain passenger cars and light-duty trucks such that automakers cannot demonstrate compliance without increasing the sales of EVs. Together, these federal regulations seek to increase the market penetration of EVs and other alternative fuel vehicles, such that these vehicles would be expected to comprise 17 percent of model year 2026 passenger vehicle sales. The EPA states that its rule is projected to reduce gasoline consumption by more than 360 billion gallons by 2050, reaching a 15 percent reduction in annual U.S. gasoline consumption in 2050. Moreover, in April 2023, the EPA announced new, more ambitious proposed standards for model years 2027 to 2032 that the agency expects will drive 67 percent of new light- and medium-duty vehicles, 50 percent of heavy-duty vocational vehicles, 35 percent of short-haul tractors, and 25 percent of long-haul tractors sold in the U.S. to be EVs or other alternative fuel vehicles by 2032. In July 2023, NHTSA also proposed increasing both the fuel economy standard for passenger cars and light trucks for model years 2027 to 2032 and the fuel efficiency standards for heavy-duty pickup trucks and vans for model years 2030 to 2035. Additionally, in November 2023, the Federal Highway Administration finalized rules that require certain U.S. state departments of transportation and metropolitan planning organizations to establish declining tailpipe carbon dioxide emissions targets for motor vehicles. Most recently, in December 2023, the EPA announced final rules intended to sharply reduce emissions of methane and other air pollution from oil and gas operations. Within such rules, the EPA nearly quadrupled its estimate of the “social cost” of carbon dioxide, a measure that is often used by certain U.S. federal agencies as part of their analyses of the costs and benefits of more stringent climate regulation, which could result in stricter climate rules and regulations that disfavor internal combustion engine vehicles and liquid transportation fuels. The IRA, which was passed in August 2022, also includes substantial subsidies to promote EVs and other alternative fuel vehicles. In addition to these U.S. federal measures, in March 2022, the EPA reinstated a waiver of preemption under federal law authorizing California to implement its “Advanced Clean Cars I” rule requiring sales of increasing percentages of alternative fuel vehicles, thereby also reviving other U.S. states’ ability to adopt standards identical to California’s. In November 2022, California approved its “Advanced Clean Cars II” rulemaking, which similarly requires an increasing percentage of “zero-emission” light-duty vehicle sales through 2035, at which time 100 percent of light-duty vehicle sales in California must be zero-emission vehicles. In May 2023, CARB requested the EPA grant a waiver of preemption for Advanced Clean Cars II, and the EPA opened CARB’s request for public hearing and comment in December 2023. Several other states have already adopted, or are expected to adopt, similar regulations or mandates. California is also pursuing similar zero-emission vehicle mandates for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles via its “Advanced Clean Trucks” rulemaking, which received a preemption waiver from the EPA in March 2023, and its “Advanced Clean Fleets” rulemaking, for which CARB applied to the EPA for a preemption waiver in November 2023, and it is foreseeable that the EPA may waive preemption to allow Advanced 25 25 25 Table of Contents Table of Contents Clean Fleets to take effect in California and in those states that elect to follow the California program. Additionally, in July 2023, CARB announced a “Clean Truck Partnership” with various U.S. truck and engine manufacturers and the Truck and Engine Manufacturers Association that is aimed at advancing the development of EVs or other alternative fuel vehicles for the commercial trucking industry regardless of whether the regulatory mandate survives legal challenge. While these measures are being litigated, we face a risk that automakers will move forward with changing their manufacturing and marketing based on their expectations that they will be forced to transition to electrification in the transportation sector. Moreover, there have been various international climate accords and multilateral agreements aimed at reducing GHG emissions, including the Kyoto Protocol in 2005, the Paris Agreement in 2015, and the United Nations Climate Summit in Dubai, United Arab Emirates (COP 28) in 2023, which, although not legally binding, have in certain instances resulted in, and are expected to continue to result in, additional government, regulatory, and private industry actions that are adverse to our industry. Incentives to conserve energy or use renewable energy sources in many locations where we currently operate, or may operate in the future, could also negatively impact our industry. Government authorities across the world have also announced, or are considering, profits or windfall taxes or penalties on fossil fuel companies, or have announced or imposed GHG emissions fees and other regulations that are adverse to refinery operations, could increase costs, and limit profitability. For example, in September 2022, the EU passed legislation imposing a profits tax and penalty on certain fossil fuel companies. Similar taxes and penalties have been proposed or adopted in California, such as Senate Bill No. 2 (such statute, together with any regulations contemplated or issued thereunder, SBx 1-2), which authorizes California to set a maximum gross gasoline refining margin and a penalty for refiners that exceed it. These legal, political, and regulatory developments, as well as other similarly focused laws and regulations, such as, among others, the California and Quebec cap-and-trade programs, the U.K. Emissions Trading Scheme, the U.K. Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation, the South Coast Air Quality Management District’s Rule 1109.1 – Emissions of Oxides of Nitrogen from Petroleum Refineries and Related Operations, CARB’s Control Measure for Ocean-Going Vessels At Berth Rule, reductions in the National Ambient Air Quality Standards, bans or restrictions on certain chemicals, feedstocks, products, or processes, and other laws related to climate, GHG emissions, or environmental, health, or safety matters, have resulted in, and are expected to continue to result in, increased costs and capital expenditures, among other impacts, to (i) operate and maintain our facilities (including restrictions on certain refinery operations and requirements to modify our operations), (ii) install new emission controls or other equipment at our facilities, and (iii) administer and manage any emissions or blending programs, including obtaining emission credits, allowances, or allotments. Such risks are particularly acute in California due to the pace and scope of anti-fossil fuel developments there. Many of these legal, political, regulatory, and international accord matters and developments are subject to considerable uncertainty due to a number of factors, including technological and economic feasibility, pending or anticipated legal challenges, and potential changes in law, regulation, or policy, and it is not currently possible to predict the ultimate effects of many of these matters and developments on us. However, such events could adversely restrict or affect our refinery operations and limit our profitability; cause us to make changes with respect to our business plan, strategy, operations, and assets, including our current financial and accounting estimates and assumptions; cause a reduction in demand for our products; and result in negative publicity and litigation; each of which could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and liquidity. 26 26 26 Table of Contents Table of Contents
View prior text (2023)
Many government authorities across the world have imposed, and may impose in the future, policies or regulations designed to facilitate less petroleum-dependent modes of transportation (e.g., increases in fuel economy standards, low-carbon fuel standards, restrictions and bans on vehicles using liquid fuels, tariffs, tax incentives, and subsidies), which could reduce demand for our petroleum-based products and/or all liquid transportation fuels. For example, CARB has approved a series of regulations designed to phase out sales of internal combustion engine vehicles in California. As of December 2022, CARB updated its Scoping Plan to identify strategies to achieve statewide carbon neutrality by 2045, including measures to reduce fossil fuel consumption in California by 94 percent by mandating alternative fuel vehicles. Other government authorities across the world, such as the U.K., Canada, and other U.S. states have also announced plans and/or restrictions regarding the sale of new internal combustion engine vehicles and/or limitations on or penalties for the use of petroleum products and GHG emissions. The U.S. federal government under the current presidential administration has also been aggressive in the scope, magnitude, and number of actions it has taken to address GHG emissions, including efforts to limit petroleum-dependent modes of transportation. For example, in January 2021, the current administration issued an executive order calling for a “whole of government” approach to climate change and environmental justice that seeks to organize and deploy the full capacity of the U.S. federal government in novel and coordinated ways that attempt to reduce GHG emissions and the use of most petroleum-based products. The current administration has also issued a number of other related executive orders, including orders requiring agencies to review environmental actions taken by the previous administration and directing the U.S. federal government to use its scale and procurement power to achieve a number of aspirational net-zero emissions goals, including, among others, 100 percent zero-emission vehicle acquisitions by 2035 and 100 percent zero-emission light-duty vehicle acquisitions by 2027. These actions have contributed to a number of U.S. federal rulemakings aimed at regulating transportation GHG emissions, many of which ignore or downplay the full life cycle carbon footprint of EVs, and thereby seek to inappropriately advantage them over internal combustion engine vehicles. For example, in December 2021, the EPA finalized its “Revised 2023 and Later Model Year Light-Duty Vehicle Greenhouse Gas Emission Standards,” revising the GHG emissions standards for light-duty vehicles for 2023 and later model years at a level that cannot be achieved by internal combustion engine vehicles through improvements in combustion efficiency. The National Highway Traffic Safety Administration also finalized a rule in May 2022 increasing the corporate average fuel economy and carbon dioxide standards for certain passenger cars and light-duty trucks such that automakers cannot demonstrate compliance without increasing the use of EVs. Together, these federal regulations seek to increase the market penetration of EVs and other alternative fuel vehicles, such that these vehicles would be expected to comprise 17 percent of model year 2026 passenger vehicle sales. The EPA states that its final rule is projected to reduce gasoline consumption by more than 360 billion gallons by 2050, reaching a 15 percent reduction in annual U.S. gasoline consumption in 2050. Moreover, the EPA has indicated that it intends in the near future to pursue more stringent GHG emissions standards for model year 2027 and later passenger vehicles and to seek GHG emissions reductions for medium and heavy-duty vehicles pursuant to its “Clean Truck Plan.” Additionally, in July 2022, the Federal Highway Administration proposed rules that would require certain U.S. state departments of transportation and metropolitan planning organizations to establish declining carbon dioxide emissions targets for motor vehicle tailpipe carbon dioxide emissions that align with the current administration’s net-zero targets. The IRA, which was 25 25 25 Table of Contents Table of Contents passed in August 2022, also includes substantial subsidies to promote EVs and other alternative fuel vehicles. In addition to these U.S. federal measures, in March 2022, the EPA reinstated a waiver of preemption (which is currently subject to legal challenge) under federal law authorizing California to implement its “Advanced Clean Cars I” rule requiring sales of increasing percentages of alternative fuel vehicles, thereby also reviving other U.S. states’ ability to adopt standards identical to California’s. In November 2022, California approved its “Advanced Clean Cars II” rulemaking, which similarly requires an increasing percentage of zero-emission light-duty vehicle sales through 2035, at which time 100 percent of light-duty vehicle sales in California must be zero-emission vehicles. This rulemaking will be subject to a grant of a waiver of preemption by the EPA, as was recently reinstated for the Advanced Clean Cars I program. Several other states have already adopted or are expected to adopt these zero-emission vehicle mandates. California has also indicated that it intends to pursue similar zero-emission vehicle mandates for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles via its “Advanced Clean Fleets” rulemaking that is currently under development, and it is foreseeable that the EPA may waive preemption to allow these rules to take effect in California and in those states that elect to follow the California program. Moreover, in 2005, the Kyoto Protocol to the 1992 United Nations (U.N.) Framework Convention on Climate Change, which establishes a binding set of GHG emissions targets, became binding on all countries that had ratified it. In 2015, the U.N. Climate Change Conference in Paris resulted in the creation of the Paris Agreement, which requires countries to review and “represent a progression” in their nationally determined contributions, which set emissions reduction goals every five years beginning in 2020. The terms of the Paris Agreement and the other executive orders and regulations discussed above are expected to result in additional regulatory actions, which could have a material adverse effect on our business. Incentives to conserve energy or use alternative energy sources in many locations where we currently operate, or may operate in the future, could negatively impact our business. Government authorities across the world are also considering, or have announced, profits or windfall taxes or penalties on fossil fuel companies, or have announced or imposed GHG emissions fees or changes that are adverse to refinery operations. For example, in September 2022, the EU passed legislation imposing a profits tax and penalty on certain fossil fuel companies, and similar taxes and penalties have been proposed in California. These and other legal, political, regulatory, and international accord matters and developments regarding climate change, GHG or other air emissions, fuel efficiency, or the environment, including executive orders that mandate or encourage the use of electric, hybrid, and other alternative fuel vehicles or discourage or ban the use of internal combustion engine vehicles, may increase consumer preferences for, and adoption of, alternative fuel vehicles and decrease demand for our liquid fuels. These legal, political, and regulatory developments, as well as other similarly focused laws and regulations, such as, among others, the California and Quebec cap-and-trade programs, the U.K. Emissions Trading Scheme, the U.K. Renewable Transport Fuel Obligation, the South Coast Air Quality Management District’s Rule 1109.1 – Emissions of Oxides of Nitrogen from Petroleum Refineries and Related Operations, CARB’s Control Measure for Ocean-Going Vessels At Berth Rule, reductions in the National Ambient Air Quality Standards, bans or restrictions on certain chemicals or processes, and other laws related to climate, GHG emissions, environmental, health, or safety matters could result in increased costs and capital expenditures, among other impacts, to (i) operate and maintain our facilities, (ii) install new emission controls at our facilities, and (iii) administer and manage any emissions or blending programs, including obtaining emission credits, allowances, or allotments. Such risks are particularly acute in California due to the pace and scope of anti-fossil fuel developments there. 26 26 26 Table of Contents Table of Contents Many of these legal, political, regulatory, and international accord matters and developments are subject to considerable uncertainty due to a number of factors, including technological and economic feasibility, legal challenges, and potential changes in law, regulation, or policy, and it is not currently possible to predict the ultimate effects of these matters and developments on us. However, a reduction in the demand for our products or an increase in costs or capital expenditures as a result of any of the foregoing events could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and liquidity. Such events could cause us to make changes with respect to our business plan, strategy, operations, and assets, that may impact our business and financial performance, including our current financial and accounting estimates and assumptions, and could result in negative publicity and litigation, which could materially and adversely affect our business, financial condition, results of operations, and liquidity.